Welcome back, fantasy golfers! Last week at the PGA Championship was a bit brutal for a lot of us with a ton of chalk going down. DraftKings user “bushler22000c” took down the final Millionaire Maker of the year with a lineup of Jimmy Walker ($7,600, 1.6%), Daniel Summerhays ($6,900, 0.8%), Jason Day ($11,700, 9.7%), Zach Johnson ($8,400, 10.0%), Martin Kaymer ($7,900, 5.5%), Webb Simpson ($7,500, 1.5%) for a TOTAL lineup ownership of only 29%. We see that bushler used the full $50000 salary cap but with his ownership so low, he certainly was unique. We see that the proper strategy was to use one of the top 4 (again remembering the soft pricing) and load up on middle range guys. This was the 4th of 38 lineups put in by bushler. With all the chalk being erased from the weekend, we actually saw a user in the top 25 with only 5/6 through the cut (23rd place, 41 points behind the winner, all with JB Holmes weighing down the lineup). Enough banter about the past, let’s move on.
If you are a new reader, this article series is focused on analyzing some top fantasy golf players and deciphering how they made their lineups and get into their brains a little bit. After lineup lock, I will be using one of the free tools over at thefantasyfanatics.com – DraftKings Ownership Analysis. Doing this will help you understand different strategies when it comes to building your own lineups. Reading this article every week or doing it on your own will help engage your mind and expand your thought process, ultimately helping evolve your game.
Coming into the Travelers Championship this week, it sure seemed like it set up for a stars and scrubs week with only a handful of top 50 OWGR guys in the field. Although, we do have more this week than a couple weeks ago at the RBC Canadian Open so I am interested to see what some of the top fantasy players are doing. We will be focusing on strategies from the $33 Dogleg GPP.
Betag21 actually finished 2nd in last week’s millionaire maker by just 4 points. I can’t find a twitter name or real name but we’re rolling with it. I notice Betag21 max entered 150 lineups this week (did 100 last week) and used 83 players. This number of golfers really jumped out at me, as the next highest player usage for the max entry guys is 57 golfers. I’ll try to not overload numbers this week – here’s Betag’s top player ownership:
• Bubba Watson (35%, $12300)
• Brooks Koepka (32%, $11200)
• Matt Kuchar (31%, $10600)
• Branden Grace (25%, $11500)
• Zach Johnson (19% , $10200)
• John Rahm (17%, $9800)
• Patrick Reed (14%, $10900)
• Russell Knox (13%, $8600)
So what do you notice?? His core group all consists of the most expensive golfers this week (lacking Webb Simpson ($10000), but he still has 10% of him). This sets up a pretty majorly stars and scrubs week for Betag. Looking further down, we notice that about half of his golfers are 6.7% owned or less. Not surprising with the number of golfers he’s rolling through. Further to this, the majority of these golfers are in the $5000 – $6000 salary range. This tells me the majority of his lineups are going to feature 3 expensive golfers and 3 dirt cheap ones, a more extreme version of stars and scrubs. He is relying on his guys at the top to hit it out of the park this week while filling in lineups with shots in the dark, but without a good read on anyone, he is using a little bit of everyone. Not an awful strategy – we’ll see if it works out for him or someone with a similar one. Lastly, I notice that of his 150 lineups, only 1 is duplicated (only once). He did a really good job of roster construction in the thought that he wants the top prize all to himself. Since this article is being posted on Saturday, we know his made cut percentage. Betag seemed to take a bigger risk this week with a more severe stars and scrubs approach. This turned out to him featuring only 8% of his lineups with 6/6 still playing through the weekend (tourney average is 15%). Whether his strategy ended up being the incorrect one or he just didn’t hit the right combination is up to you to decide. We will see a clearer picture once the tournament is over. It only takes one lineup to hit big in GPP’s!